Monday, August 19, 2013

What the interwebs coughed up - EconoSpeak: Why Are We Rushing To Get Rid Of Fannie Mae and Fr...

Given the "success" the banks have had in "banking reform" - where their actual illegalities are whitewashed and they have been freed of any obligation to the American People who bailed them out, it's no wonder they want to can off Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.  Those two quasi public entities represent real, openly state-back competition to banks, and if you are BofA and want to get out of 30 year fixed mortgages, you want them off the table.

Turns out that would be economically . . . shortsighted . . . ill advised . . . unwise . . .  at least according to Barkley Rosser:

 Rather then eliminating them or returning them to their semi-private status where they are supposed to make money, increase the degree of state ownership and mandate them to play the roles that they were set up to play in the beginning (and Fannie goes all the way back to the New Deal), to act as backdrops and stabilizers of the US housing market.  Obama has said he wants to preserve the 30-year mortgage, but Harley hints that this may not happen with any of the currently proposed alternatives.  It is indeed the case that most nations lack such mortgages.  It was Fannie Mae that allowed the creation of them.  So, return Fannie and Freddie to their original functions and increase their backing from the state rather than reducing it.  Heck, their positive profits (at least for now) can even help further lower the budget deficit that most Americans do not even know is declining.

Read more at EconoSpeak: Why Are We Rushing To Get Rid Of Fannie Mae and Fr...:

Thursday, August 1, 2013

Failing to Connect the Dots Doesn't Mean You Need More Dots - The Excuse War Heats up for the NSA

In the last few sentences of a report on NPR this morning, the Deputy Director of the FBI is attributed this statement regarding the NSA's electronic surveillance programs:

"You have to have the dots in order to connect the dots."

His implication, of course, is that the NSA' massive, unethical, and hopefully unconstitutional electronic surveillance program is necessary in order to gather data that will allow the discovery and foiling of terrorist plots.

Funny, but the 9/11 Commission's report nearly a decade ago stated clearly that the 9/11 attacks (which were waved in America's face again this week by New Jersey Governor Chris Christie) were not stopped because of a LACK of information, but because of a lack of TRUST between federal intelligence and law enforcement agencies that allowed the information in hand to be USED effectively.  So in other words, the dots were there, but the agencies involved - including the NSA - failed to connect them and then to coalesce around a response strategy they could advocate to the White House.

Thus, trying to make sure they don't "fail America" again, they have built a data mining enterprise like no other - which does nothing to solve the problems that led to 9/11.  Now there's some Waste, Fraud, and Abuse that needs Congressional investigating!


Thursday, July 18, 2013

A Trickle Down Econimic Question for Conservatives

So, dear economically conservative fellow citizens, this liberal asks a fundamental, fact based question - if CEO pay went up 16% last year and real labor wages continue to decline (in inflation adjusted dollars) as is widely reported in the MSM these days, how is trickle down economics working, exactly?

I'll be waiting for an answer . . . .

Sunday, June 23, 2013

Supply SIde Economics is SO Last Century - And Why That's Bad for America's Economy

Milton Friedman and his Supply Side followers got precisely one thing right in their economic theory - money taken out of the economy in taxes is not readily available for private capitol uses.  Sure, that money then reenters the economy down stream as labor wages for government workers, and as purchasing by government agencies (which then creates other labor wages in other sectors).  But tax expenditures do, in fact, remove money from first order private economic activity.

And in Friedman's day, altering that balance MAY well have led to more capital investment, since the economy of his time was dominated by newly rising industrial manufacturing and more industrialization of farming and food production.  So he was potentially right - way back then - that a key to economic growth in recessions might have once been diverting tax revenue back to the private sector where there were incentives (increased private profits) to grow manufacturing capacity and hire more and better paid workers.

The problem for modern Republicans - who cling to his Supply Side theories as if they were inviolate Gospel - is that those theories fall apart in service oriented, demand driven economies that are founded on consumption and provision for services, and less so on manufacturing (even if manufacturing is needed somewhere to feed the consumption demand).  The theories aren't even applicable to rent seeking economies (and the ultra rich who participate in such economies), because as rents increase (i.e. as more profits are made on financial transactions in Wall Street, Derivatives markets and the like), economy can "grow" with fewer people actually doing work.

Thus, as we have seen since the Great Recession began, historically low rates of income taxation on top economic earners and corporations do NOT trickle down to increased labor wages for the rest of the economy, nor do they lead to more hiring even as the economy appears to "grow."  The reason is really very simple - there is a perverse or negative incentive structure in returning more tax revenue to private hands in this kind of economy because the more funds a rent seeking 1%'er has, the more rents he or she will seek, and the more he or she will seek to dampen competition for those rents.  In an economy that grows because labor wages grow, an increasing number of people will move up the ladder to a point where more of their income can also be rent seeking, driving DOWN the amount of money to be made in that sector of the economy by any one person or corporation.

So if you support Republican "slash and burn" tax policy, you're not only deflating government's size and ability to control markets (which are historically bad at self-regulation), but you are destroying middle and lower class economic opportunity in order to destroy competition for rents.  That's, by definition, the OPPOSITE of " a rising Tide lifts all boats."  And I wish Republicans would just come clean about it.

Friday, June 21, 2013

Recently in Nature: America's oceanographic fleet is just as bad off as our bridges.


 “I foresee a continued demand for ships, consistent with what it’s been in the past several decades,” says David Checkley, a marine scientist at Scripps. “The decline in fleets that’s projected is worrisome. We need an investment that is congruent with very large projects that governments undertake if we’re to continue to study the oceans.”
Ocean scientists are a hardy lot - we often take extreme risks in extreme environments to try and understand the 70% of our earth's surface covered by water.  But to do it successfully we need resources - most notably ships that are seaworthy and have the latest updated lab equipment to study the ocean while we'r eon the ocean.

So when that fleet's health and sea worthiness is threatened by budget cuts, I get concerned.  You should too.  Because funding for ocean science infrastructure is really a subset of the problem of lack of infrastructure spending in America writ large.

Read more:
http://www.nature.com/news/us-science-fleet-s-future-is-far-from-ship-shape-1.13164

Thursday, June 20, 2013

REBLOG: The Heart of the Matter: Memo To Authoritarians: The "Oath" is to the Constitution, Not to Secrecy

Barry Eisler (like me) was a federal employee.  Unlike me he was in the intel community as a CIA operative.  He took the same oath I did, and the oath he describes in his recent post The Heart of the Matter: Memo To Authoritarians: The "Oath" is to the Constitution, Not to Secrecy.  He makes the really important point that the Oath in question is about protecting the Constitution - and given what we know about PRISM and Edward Snowden's other leaked programs I would argue that Mr. Snowden was, in fact, trying to defend the Constitution (since this kind of vast undirected data gathering for purposes of "finding" terrorists violates the 4th Amendment).  Funny, how every one but the President takes this oath, and now they are all using it to hide from the public consequences of that Oath lived out.

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Since CBO says immigration reform grows the ecomony, will pro-business & proPmarket Republicans overcome their internal racisim & passs it?